The MTV movie awards is this Sunday 6/3/12 and the Hunger Games leads the pack with a whopping 9 nominations. But what are their chances of winning? Next Movie takes a look and discusses their thoughts on the Hunger Games chances.

Movie of the Year
“The Hunger Games” is something of a freshman franchise at the moment, and it’s sharing this major category with a hip senior classman (“Harry Potter”) and a very popular junior (“Breaking Dawn – Part 1″). Even putting aside the massively successful “The Help” and “Bridesmaids” which are also nominated, the “Harry Potter” and “Twilight” fanbases will be tough to beat, especially since many “Hunger Games” fans stem from one or both of those fan groups and may still have a little click loyalty for them. There’s a chance ”The Hunger Games” could take this prize home, but it may be a little slim.
Our Bet: LoseBest Female Performance
Jennifer Lawrence has this category in the bag. While Kristen Wiig, Emma Stone and Rooney Mara also present some fresh blood for the nomination list and Emma Watson’s got a plethora of “Harry Potter” fans at her flanks, J.Law is the literal face of the newest Big Thing in Young Hollywood and almost everyone can agree her performance merits the landslide victory here.
Our Bet: WinBest Male Performance
While Josh Hutcherson might’ve won over (most of) “The Hunger Games” faithful with his touching performance as Peeta Mellark, his fellow competitors in this battle are fierce. The “Harry Potter” folks will no doubt be vetting the series’ long-lived lead Daniel Radcliffe for a final win, and both Ryan Gosling and Channing Tatum have nudged into heartthrob status over the past few years. Hutcherson could totally nab the victory and probably will, but we predict it’ll be by a very close margin.
Our Bet: WinBreakthough Performance
As much as we loved Melissa McCarthy in “Bridesmaids” and Shailene Woodley in “The Descendants,”Liam Hemsworth as Gale has a shot at owning the Breakthrough Performance courtesy of a little bonus name recognition. The world is Hemsworth right now, thanks to him and brother Chris – star of ”The Avengers” and ”Snow White and the Huntsman”. That said, McCarthy has quite the following and, well, Taylor Lautner still hasn’t won an MTV Movie Award.
Our Bet: Could go either way
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